Poll Indicates Swiss Voters Likely to Reject Population Limit Proposal
According to the latest polling data, 52% of respondents oppose the initiative, while 45% support it. An additional 3% remain undecided. The findings indicate growing resistance to the measure, with opposition rising by five percentage points compared with a similar survey conducted in early May.
The proposal, put forward by the Swiss People's Party, seeks to reduce immigration and prevent Switzerland’s population from surpassing the 10-million mark. The country is currently home to approximately 9.1 million residents.
Support for the initiative remains strongest among voters aligned with the Swiss People's Party, while those on the political left largely oppose the measure. Reports indicate that voters in the political center have become increasingly skeptical of the proposal as public debate has continued.
The survey also revealed notable demographic differences. Women, highly educated individuals, residents of urban areas and people living in French-speaking regions of Switzerland were more likely to oppose the initiative. Swiss citizens residing abroad showed even stronger resistance, with nearly two-thirds rejecting the proposal and roughly one-third supporting it.
According to political analyst Lukas Golder, who was involved in the polling research, the initiative currently appears unlikely to achieve the level of support seen during Switzerland’s 2014 referendum on mass immigration.
The poll also examined public opinion on planned amendments to Switzerland’s Civilian Service Act. The proposed changes would make access to civilian service more restrictive in an effort to maintain military personnel levels.
Support for the reform has weakened, falling to 48%, while opposition has climbed to 46%. The results suggest a closely contested vote, with both sides nearly tied as the June 14 referendum approaches.
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